139# Trendlines Forex System
Trendilines breakout
Submit by Marco (Written by Usman)
Markets Traded – Forex, Major Pairs (GBPUSD, EURUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY)
Charts – 4 hour and 1 Hour
Charting Software – Any
Indicators
Trendlines
Pivot Points
100 Period Simple Moving Average
150 Period Simple Moving Average
MACD (8,17,9)
Stochastic (8,3,3)
Setting Up Your Charts
This system uses 2 time frames, a 4 hour chart and a 1 hour chart. Add the
following indicators with the settings shown below to both charts and they should
look similar to the charts shown below.
100 Period Simple Moving Average
150 Period Simple Moving Average
MACD (8,17,9)
Stochastic (8,3,3)
RULES
1. Determine the trend on the 4hr chart chart using trendlines, MACD and
Stochastics.
2. Determine the trend on the 1hr chart chart using trendlines, MACD and
Stochastics.
3. Take note of the pivot level on the 1 hr chart.
4. Look for consolidation with a symmetrical triangle
5. Wait for a breakout
6. If break out is to the upside, the MACD (either the Histogram or Signal Line)
must be above 0 or if it is below 0 there should be bullish divergence. If break out
is to the downside, the MACD (either the Histogram or Signal Line) must be
below 0 or if it is above 0 there should be bearish divergence.
7. After the breakout, wait for the price to pull back then open a pending order
just above the resistance trend line if you are going long OR just below the
support trend line if you are going short. If there is no pullback place your entry
order 2 pips below the low of the breakout candle if you are going short OR 2
pips above the high of the breakout candle if you are going long.
8. Place your stop loss at the next support/resistance level depending on whether
you are going long or short.
Short Trade Example:
Have a look at the following chart. This is a 4 hour chart of the GBP/USD pair. At
Point A the 100 SMA has crossed below the 150 SMA telling us the market is in
a downtrend.
At Point B I have drawn a trendline from the highest high at the start of the move
down to the next highest high. This trendline shows the market is in a downtrend
as well.
At Point A the 100 SMA is below the 150 SMA telling us the market is in a
downtrend. Point B shows the 2 trendlines I had drawn when I spotted the market
starting to consolidate.
Point C is the Pivot Point level which I have added after getting the figure from
the Action Forex Pivot Levels.
At Point D the MACD Histogram had slipped below zero with the Signal Line
following closely so this gives us further confirmation that the market is in a
downtrend.
At Point E the Stochastic indicator had moved out of the Overbought region and
the %K Line had already crossed below the %D Line, giving us further
confirmation that the market was in a downtrend.
At Point F there was a false breakout to the upside but because we have already
established that the trend was down we ignored this breakout and continued to
wait for a breakout to the short side.
At Point C, the MACD Signal Line and Histogram are both well above zero
signaling an uptrend.
At Point D the Stochastic is in the Overbought area which is not ideal but the %K
line has to crossed above the %D line telling us the market is in a uptrend.
All our indicators on the 4 hour chart are telling us that the market is in an
uptrend so we can now switch to the 1 hour chart to determine the trend, look for
a breakout and a possible entry level.
If one of the indicators in this example gave us a sell signal we would not switch
down to the 1hour chart until all the indicators are telling us to buy. All the
indicators must be in agreement.
Since all the indicators are signaling the market is in a downtrend it is safe to
switch to the 1 hour chart and look for an opportunity to sell. Take a look at the
following chart.
At Point G we got the breakout of the trendlines to the short side that we were
looking for. Once the candle had closed I waited for it to retrace then place my
entry order 2 pips below the low of the breakout candle at Point H.
I placed my stop loss at Point I and my target at point J which are Support and
Resistance levels which I obtained from the Action Forex website. The order was
opened shortly after and as I write this I am currently $420 in profit.
Long Trade Example:
Have a look at the following chart. This is a 4 hour chart of the USD/CHF pair. At
Point B the 100 SMA has crossed above the 150 SMA telling us the market is in
an uptrend.
At Point A I have drawn two trendlines from the lowest low at the start of the
move up to the next lowest low. These trendlines show the market is in an
uptrend as well.
At Point A the 100 SMA is above the 150 SMA telling us the market is in an
uptrend. Point B shows the 2 trendlines I have drawn when I spotted the market
started to consolidate.
Point C is the Pivot Point level which I have added after getting the figure from
the Action Forex Pivot Levels website.
At Point D the MACD Histogram and Signal Line is above zero so this gives us
further confirmation that the market is in an uptrend.
At Point E, the %K Line has crossed above the %D Line, giving us confirmation
that the market is in an uptrend.
At Point F there was a breakout to the upside. Once the candle had close I
waited for it to retrace then place my entry order 2 pips above the high of the
breakout candle.placed my stop loss below the nearest Support level.
Share your opinion, can help everyone to understand the forex strategy.
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